MIGRANT SMUGGLING TO EUROPE: A TWO-SECTOR MODEL WITH DIRECTED SEARCH
Résumé
In the last decade, combating migrant smuggling has emerged as a top priority for the
European Union (EU). The market for smuggling services to the EU is characterized by (i) a
dual structure, comprising both a segment of organized criminal cartels and one of smaller,
self-employed smugglers, (ii) significant trading frictions, and (iii) the ability of smugglers to
set fees. A directed search model is well-suited to analyze this market. Comparative statics
on the equilibrium solution, along with numerical simulations, allow for a detailed examination of various policies aimed at reducing irregular migration and disrupting the smuggling
business. Results indicate that general-purpose policy measures effectively curb migration
but may inadvertently bolster cartel profits by pushing self-employed smugglers out of the
market. Conversely, policies that specifically target criminal organizations may increase the
number of self-employed smugglers, potentially leading to higher irregular border crossings.
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